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OPINION: This article may contain commentary which reflects the author’s opinion.
Former President Donald Trump is poised to receive a higher percentage of the black vote in November than any other presidential candidate in recent history, according to an analysis of several recent polls.
“According to national and swing state polls reviewed by Bloomberg, the former president and GOP front runner has between 14 percent and 30 percent of the Black vote share as the country heads into an election year,” Newsweek reported. “This is far beyond the 8 percent of the Black vote the Pew Research Center said the Republican won in the 2020 presidential election and more than any Republican candidate before him.”
The outlet added some historical data:
The NAACP estimated that 5 million African Americans voted in the 1960 presidential election when Richard Nixon won 32 percent of the Black vote, according to Politico. Since then, the Black population has increased from around 10.83 percent or 19,418,190 people, according to an analysis of census data, to 13.6 percent of the overall population or 46,936,733 people.
The Black voting turnout has slightly increased in presidential elections from 58.5 percent of the eligible voting population in 1964, the earliest election for which such figures are available, to 58.7 percent in 2020, according to Statista. This means if Trump wins more than 13 percent of the vote share, he will gain the highest proportion of the Black vote since Nixon in 1960 and more individual Black votes.
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President Joe Biden received 92 percent of the black vote in 2020, the outlet noted further, adding that other recent polling showed him losing ground with the demographic.
In November, a former Black Lives Matter local chapter leader announced he was switching from Biden to Trump.
In an interview with “Fox & Friends,” BLM Rhode Island leader Mark Fisher made the announcement that he’s endorsing the 45th president in next year’s presidential race.
Co-host Lawrence Jones asked, “This is my favorite story of the day because it identifies what I have seen in the barbershop. All the brothers, for some reason right now are turning tides right now. I just wonder what is the big reason?”
“I think personally it’s the duplicity of the Democrats, the hypocrisy,” Fisher responded. “We are not stupid. The brothers are not stupid. We understand when someone is for us and when someone is not. It’s obvious that the Democratic Party is not for us.
“Their policies actually strike at the heart of the black family and nuclear family,” he added.
“A lot of people are misinformed. They don’t understand because they don’t educate themselves on Donald Trump as a person and his history,” Fisher continued. “But, if they do that — and it’s going to take, you know, leaders, educating leaders to get the word out there — I think it will happen on its own.
“It will be organic because, personally, I love the man. How could you, as like a real man, how could you not relate to someone like that?” he asked.
Trump’s numbers among black voters have been improving the longer Biden is in office, which has stunned many political observers.
A survey released earlier that month by The New York Times and Siena College found that 22 percent of black respondents support Trump, the highest percentage of black support for a GOP presidential candidate in the modern era.
“Trump leads Biden by a whopping 10 points in Nevada, six points in Georgia, five points in both Arizona and Michigan, and four points in Pennsylvania. Biden’s sole lead is in Wisconsin, where he beats Trump by two points,” Fox News reported, citing the poll, which was released on Sunday.
Biden beat Trump in each of those states in 2020. But now, combined, Trump leads Biden 48–44 percent in those states.
